Trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary tilts toward businessman Perry Johnson at 46% implied probability, edging Congressman John James at 38%, amid a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner dominating. Johnson's surge stems from his January entry, $1 million statewide ad buy, and sharp attacks on James for skipping recent GOP debates, boosting his standing in late March polls that showed the pair nearly tied (James 23%, Johnson 20%). James' early lead, bolstered by endorsements like Kid Rock's, has faded amid base criticism labeling him insufficiently aligned with Trump-era priorities. With the August 4 primary looming, potential Trump endorsements, further debates, or fundraising reports could separate the top contenders in this closely contested race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPerry Johnson 49%
John James 39%
Aric Nesbitt 6.4%
Anthony Hudson 6.1%
$23,665 Vol.
$23,665 Vol.
Perry Johnson
42%
John James
39%
Aric Nesbitt
6%
Anthony Hudson
6%
Joyce Gipson
6%
Mike Cox
3%
Karla Wagner
2%
Evan Space
1%
Tom Leonard
1%
Ralph Rebandt
1%
William Null
1%
Perry Johnson 49%
John James 39%
Aric Nesbitt 6.4%
Anthony Hudson 6.1%
$23,665 Vol.
$23,665 Vol.
Perry Johnson
42%
John James
39%
Aric Nesbitt
6%
Anthony Hudson
6%
Joyce Gipson
6%
Mike Cox
3%
Karla Wagner
2%
Evan Space
1%
Tom Leonard
1%
Ralph Rebandt
1%
William Null
1%
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary tilts toward businessman Perry Johnson at 46% implied probability, edging Congressman John James at 38%, amid a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner dominating. Johnson's surge stems from his January entry, $1 million statewide ad buy, and sharp attacks on James for skipping recent GOP debates, boosting his standing in late March polls that showed the pair nearly tied (James 23%, Johnson 20%). James' early lead, bolstered by endorsements like Kid Rock's, has faded amid base criticism labeling him insufficiently aligned with Trump-era priorities. With the August 4 primary looming, potential Trump endorsements, further debates, or fundraising reports could separate the top contenders in this closely contested race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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