Former Senator Sherrod Brown commands 98.4% implied probability in the Ohio Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 5, driven by his three prior terms' incumbency advantages, $12.5 million first-quarter fundraising haul, and strong union endorsements in this special election vacancy from J.D. Vance's vice presidential election. No credible challengers have gained traction since the February filing deadline, leaving Rep. Greg Landsman, former Rep. Tim Ryan, and state Rep. Allison Russo with negligible support amid Brown's statewide name recognition. Recent general election polls show Brown competitive against interim Sen. Jon Husted, but primary focus remains quiet with no polling disputes. Scenarios to upend this include a late scandal, health issue, or surprise endorsement shift for a rival, though structural barriers make shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSherrod Brown 98.4%
Tim Ryan <1%
Greg Landsman <1%
Allison Russo <1%
$17,635 Vol.
$17,635 Vol.
Sherrod Brown
98%
Tim Ryan
1%
Greg Landsman
1%
Allison Russo
<1%
Sherrod Brown 98.4%
Tim Ryan <1%
Greg Landsman <1%
Allison Russo <1%
$17,635 Vol.
$17,635 Vol.
Sherrod Brown
98%
Tim Ryan
1%
Greg Landsman
1%
Allison Russo
<1%
If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ohio Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Ohio Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Senator Sherrod Brown commands 98.4% implied probability in the Ohio Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 5, driven by his three prior terms' incumbency advantages, $12.5 million first-quarter fundraising haul, and strong union endorsements in this special election vacancy from J.D. Vance's vice presidential election. No credible challengers have gained traction since the February filing deadline, leaving Rep. Greg Landsman, former Rep. Tim Ryan, and state Rep. Allison Russo with negligible support amid Brown's statewide name recognition. Recent general election polls show Brown competitive against interim Sen. Jon Husted, but primary focus remains quiet with no polling disputes. Scenarios to upend this include a late scandal, health issue, or surprise endorsement shift for a rival, though structural barriers make shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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