Following inconclusive first-round direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are arranging a second round possibly within days amid a fragile ceasefire expiring next week and a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. The US delegation—led by Vice President JD Vance with Jared Kushner and envoy Steve Witkoff—met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, focusing on nuclear curbs and de-escalation without breakthrough. President Trump expressed optimism for resumption, while Pakistani and Saudi mediators intensify efforts, informing trader consensus on probable attendees for the next diplomatic encounter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,709 Vol.
Donald Trump
10%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
81%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
87%
$15,709 Vol.
Donald Trump
10%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
81%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
87%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following inconclusive first-round direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are arranging a second round possibly within days amid a fragile ceasefire expiring next week and a US blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. The US delegation—led by Vice President JD Vance with Jared Kushner and envoy Steve Witkoff—met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, focusing on nuclear curbs and de-escalation without breakthrough. President Trump expressed optimism for resumption, while Pakistani and Saudi mediators intensify efforts, informing trader consensus on probable attendees for the next diplomatic encounter.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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