Alberta Premier Danielle Smith scheduled an October 19, 2026, referendum that includes a question on whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a binding separation vote. Recent Ipsos polling shows 72% of Albertans favoring remaining in Canada versus 19% supporting the initial step, a sharp decline from 28% earlier in 2026. Court rulings have blocked direct citizen petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while the provincial government frames related questions around strengthening Alberta’s position within a united Canada. These factors underpin trader consensus that voters are unlikely to endorse advancing independence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$247,240 Vol.
$247,240 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$247,240 Vol.
$247,240 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith scheduled an October 19, 2026, referendum that includes a question on whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a binding separation vote. Recent Ipsos polling shows 72% of Albertans favoring remaining in Canada versus 19% supporting the initial step, a sharp decline from 28% earlier in 2026. Court rulings have blocked direct citizen petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while the provincial government frames related questions around strengthening Alberta’s position within a united Canada. These factors underpin trader consensus that voters are unlikely to endorse advancing independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$247,240Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta Premier Danielle Smith scheduled an October 19, 2026, referendum that includes a question on whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a binding separation vote. Recent Ipsos polling shows 72% of Albertans favoring remaining in Canada versus 19% supporting the initial step, a sharp decline from 28% earlier in 2026. Court rulings have blocked direct citizen petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while the provincial government frames related questions around strengthening Alberta’s position within a united Canada. These factors underpin trader consensus that voters are unlikely to endorse advancing independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$247,240Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta Premier Danielle Smith scheduled an October 19, 2026, referendum that includes a question on whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a binding separation vote. Recent Ipsos polling shows 72% of Albertans favoring remaining in Canada versus 19% supporting the initial step, a sharp decline from 28% earlier in 2026. Court rulings have blocked direct citizen petitions over inadequate First Nations consultation and treaty concerns, while the provincial government frames related questions around strengthening Alberta’s position within a united Canada. These factors underpin trader consensus that voters are unlikely to endorse advancing independence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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