A recent Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on April 10 paused signature validation for the Stay Free Alberta citizen initiative petition, which claimed to exceed the 177,732-signature threshold in late March to trigger an independence referendum on October 19, 2026, following a First Nations injunction citing treaty rights threats with a hearing outcome pending. Polls, including Pollara's April survey showing 27% support—a five-year high but still a minority—and Abacus Data's March finding of about 25% backing, underscore limited public appetite. Premier Danielle Smith's government plans a separate provincial referendum that day on nine policy questions like immigration, without endorsing separation, reinforcing trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" amid procedural hurdles and constitutional complexities requiring federal involvement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$51,490 Vol.
$51,490 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$51,490 Vol.
$51,490 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A recent Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on April 10 paused signature validation for the Stay Free Alberta citizen initiative petition, which claimed to exceed the 177,732-signature threshold in late March to trigger an independence referendum on October 19, 2026, following a First Nations injunction citing treaty rights threats with a hearing outcome pending. Polls, including Pollara's April survey showing 27% support—a five-year high but still a minority—and Abacus Data's March finding of about 25% backing, underscore limited public appetite. Premier Danielle Smith's government plans a separate provincial referendum that day on nine policy questions like immigration, without endorsing separation, reinforcing trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" amid procedural hurdles and constitutional complexities requiring federal involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$51,490Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A recent Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on April 10 paused signature validation for the Stay Free Alberta citizen initiative petition, which claimed to exceed the 177,732-signature threshold in late March to trigger an independence referendum on October 19, 2026, following a First Nations injunction citing treaty rights threats with a hearing outcome pending. Polls, including Pollara's April survey showing 27% support—a five-year high but still a minority—and Abacus Data's March finding of about 25% backing, underscore limited public appetite. Premier Danielle Smith's government plans a separate provincial referendum that day on nine policy questions like immigration, without endorsing separation, reinforcing trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" amid procedural hurdles and constitutional complexities requiring federal involvement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$51,490Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A recent Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on April 10 paused signature validation for the Stay Free Alberta citizen initiative petition, which claimed to exceed the 177,732-signature threshold in late March to trigger an independence referendum on October 19, 2026, following a First Nations injunction citing treaty rights threats with a hearing outcome pending. Polls, including Pollara's April survey showing 27% support—a five-year high but still a minority—and Abacus Data's March finding of about 25% backing, underscore limited public appetite. Premier Danielle Smith's government plans a separate provincial referendum that day on nine policy questions like immigration, without endorsing separation, reinforcing trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" amid procedural hurdles and constitutional complexities requiring federal involvement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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