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Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?

Market icon

Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?

apr 30

apr 30

$306,113 Vol.

30 apr 2026
Polymarket

$306,113 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5,00

$60,710 Vol.

1%

↑ $4,75

$38,622 Vol.

2%

↑ $4,50

$13,000 Vol.

8%

↑ $4,25

$20,662 Vol.

19%

↓ $3,95

$6,615 Vol.

36%

↓ $3,85

$8,433 Vol.

13%

↓ $3,75

$3,183 Vol.

5%

↓ 3,50 $

$1,089 Vol.

7%

↓ $3,25

$1,246 Vol.

3%

↓ 3,00 $

$2,201 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4.10 per gallon as of April 15, driven primarily by the ongoing war with Iran following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that disrupted oil supplies and spiked crude prices over 30%. Seasonal spring driving demand and elevated refinery margins have compounded the rise from mid-February levels near $2.90. Recent AAA data shows a slight daily dip to $4.108 amid decelerating growth, while EIA weekly figures confirm $4.123 on April 13. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, upcoming EIA inventory reports on April 21, and oil market volatility through the April 30 resolution using daily AAA averages to two decimal places.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$306,113
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4.10 per gallon as of April 15, driven primarily by the ongoing war with Iran following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that disrupted oil supplies and spiked crude prices over 30%. Seasonal spring driving demand and elevated refinery margins have compounded the rise from mid-February levels near $2.90. Recent AAA data shows a slight daily dip to $4.108 amid decelerating growth, while EIA weekly figures confirm $4.123 on April 13. Traders eye potential de-escalation diplomacy, upcoming EIA inventory reports on April 21, and oil market volatility through the April 30 resolution using daily AAA averages to two decimal places.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$306,113
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Domande frequenti

"Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↑ $4,15" a 100%, seguito da "↑ $4,05" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?" ha generato $306.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 31, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?" è "↑ $4,15" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "↑ $4,05" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il gas raggiungerà __ entro la fine di aprile?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.