Trader consensus prices "No" at 93%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. military preparations or deployments against Colombia despite early 2026 rhetorical tensions. Following U.S. intervention in Venezuela and President Trump's January threats tying Colombia to drug trafficking, President Petro warned of a "real threat" of action, prompting defensive military postures. However, a February White House meeting between Trump and Petro shifted focus to counternarcotics cooperation and regional stability on Venezuela, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" and downplaying past insults. No escalation has occurred in the past two months amid ongoing U.S. assurances against charges on Petro and persistent bilateral security ties as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking diplomatic breakdowns or drug policy crises could shift odds, though structural alliance barriers remain high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$25,325 Vol.
$25,325 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$25,325 Vol.
$25,325 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. military preparations or deployments against Colombia despite early 2026 rhetorical tensions. Following U.S. intervention in Venezuela and President Trump's January threats tying Colombia to drug trafficking, President Petro warned of a "real threat" of action, prompting defensive military postures. However, a February White House meeting between Trump and Petro shifted focus to counternarcotics cooperation and regional stability on Venezuela, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" and downplaying past insults. No escalation has occurred in the past two months amid ongoing U.S. assurances against charges on Petro and persistent bilateral security ties as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking diplomatic breakdowns or drug policy crises could shift odds, though structural alliance barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$25,325Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. military preparations or deployments against Colombia despite early 2026 rhetorical tensions. Following U.S. intervention in Venezuela and President Trump's January threats tying Colombia to drug trafficking, President Petro warned of a "real threat" of action, prompting defensive military postures. However, a February White House meeting between Trump and Petro shifted focus to counternarcotics cooperation and regional stability on Venezuela, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" and downplaying past insults. No escalation has occurred in the past two months amid ongoing U.S. assurances against charges on Petro and persistent bilateral security ties as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking diplomatic breakdowns or drug policy crises could shift odds, though structural alliance barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$25,325Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. military preparations or deployments against Colombia despite early 2026 rhetorical tensions. Following U.S. intervention in Venezuela and President Trump's January threats tying Colombia to drug trafficking, President Petro warned of a "real threat" of action, prompting defensive military postures. However, a February White House meeting between Trump and Petro shifted focus to counternarcotics cooperation and regional stability on Venezuela, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" and downplaying past insults. No escalation has occurred in the past two months amid ongoing U.S. assurances against charges on Petro and persistent bilateral security ties as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking diplomatic breakdowns or drug policy crises could shift odds, though structural alliance barriers remain high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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