Alabama's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, rooted in voter registration patterns and past statewide results, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. U.S. Representative Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Everett Wess emerged as his general election opponent. A July 2026 poll showed Moore leading Wess by 15 points among likely voters. Factors such as the state's electoral history, limited Democratic infrastructure in recent cycles, and Moore's congressional profile contribute to the wide margin in implied probabilities. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, unusually high Democratic turnout, or a significant national shift against the party in power.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$6,733 Vol.
96%
民主党
$5,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, rooted in voter registration patterns and past statewide results, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. U.S. Representative Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Everett Wess emerged as his general election opponent. A July 2026 poll showed Moore leading Wess by 15 points among likely voters. Factors such as the state's electoral history, limited Democratic infrastructure in recent cycles, and Moore's congressional profile contribute to the wide margin in implied probabilities. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, unusually high Democratic turnout, or a significant national shift against the party in power.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$12,304終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, rooted in voter registration patterns and past statewide results, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. U.S. Representative Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Everett Wess emerged as his general election opponent. A July 2026 poll showed Moore leading Wess by 15 points among likely voters. Factors such as the state's electoral history, limited Democratic infrastructure in recent cycles, and Moore's congressional profile contribute to the wide margin in implied probabilities. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, unusually high Democratic turnout, or a significant national shift against the party in power.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$12,304終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, rooted in voter registration patterns and past statewide results, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. U.S. Representative Barry Moore secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Everett Wess emerged as his general election opponent. A July 2026 poll showed Moore leading Wess by 15 points among likely voters. Factors such as the state's electoral history, limited Democratic infrastructure in recent cycles, and Moore's congressional profile contribute to the wide margin in implied probabilities. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, unusually high Democratic turnout, or a significant national shift against the party in power.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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