Strong trader consensus for no EU withdrawal before 2027 reflects the lack of any active Article 50 process or governing party mandate across member states. Brexit's extended negotiations and economic adjustments have discouraged similar moves, while Eurobarometer data and national polls show sustained majority support for continued membership. Eurosceptic parties in countries such as Poland, Italy, and France prioritize internal reforms, veto leverage, or EEA-style arrangements over formal exits. Upcoming national elections in 2027 fall outside the resolution window, and constitutional requirements plus negotiation timelines create significant procedural barriers. A sudden government change triggering rapid notification remains a low-probability scenario that could still shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
はい
2% 確率
$166,282 Vol.
$166,282 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
2% 確率
$166,282 Vol.
$166,282 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus for no EU withdrawal before 2027 reflects the lack of any active Article 50 process or governing party mandate across member states. Brexit's extended negotiations and economic adjustments have discouraged similar moves, while Eurobarometer data and national polls show sustained majority support for continued membership. Eurosceptic parties in countries such as Poland, Italy, and France prioritize internal reforms, veto leverage, or EEA-style arrangements over formal exits. Upcoming national elections in 2027 fall outside the resolution window, and constitutional requirements plus negotiation timelines create significant procedural barriers. A sudden government change triggering rapid notification remains a low-probability scenario that could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
音量
$166,282終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong trader consensus for no EU withdrawal before 2027 reflects the lack of any active Article 50 process or governing party mandate across member states. Brexit's extended negotiations and economic adjustments have discouraged similar moves, while Eurobarometer data and national polls show sustained majority support for continued membership. Eurosceptic parties in countries such as Poland, Italy, and France prioritize internal reforms, veto leverage, or EEA-style arrangements over formal exits. Upcoming national elections in 2027 fall outside the resolution window, and constitutional requirements plus negotiation timelines create significant procedural barriers. A sudden government change triggering rapid notification remains a low-probability scenario that could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$166,282終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus for no EU withdrawal before 2027 reflects the lack of any active Article 50 process or governing party mandate across member states. Brexit's extended negotiations and economic adjustments have discouraged similar moves, while Eurobarometer data and national polls show sustained majority support for continued membership. Eurosceptic parties in countries such as Poland, Italy, and France prioritize internal reforms, veto leverage, or EEA-style arrangements over formal exits. Upcoming national elections in 2027 fall outside the resolution window, and constitutional requirements plus negotiation timelines create significant procedural barriers. A sudden government change triggering rapid notification remains a low-probability scenario that could still shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問