No EU member state government has advanced Article 50 notification or related constitutional steps, reflecting sustained public support for membership across the bloc and policy focus on enlargement negotiations with candidates such as Montenegro. Eurosceptic parties remain marginal or have moderated exit positions, while recent national debates center on migration centers, fiscal rules, and defense coordination rather than withdrawal. The brief window until December 2026 further limits scope for any new process to begin. Trader consensus at 97.7% on "No" aligns with these structural and political realities. Late shifts could still occur through sudden national election outcomes or crises prompting an immediate notification by one government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
はい
2% 確率
$166,282 Vol.
$166,282 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
2% 確率
$166,282 Vol.
$166,282 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state government has advanced Article 50 notification or related constitutional steps, reflecting sustained public support for membership across the bloc and policy focus on enlargement negotiations with candidates such as Montenegro. Eurosceptic parties remain marginal or have moderated exit positions, while recent national debates center on migration centers, fiscal rules, and defense coordination rather than withdrawal. The brief window until December 2026 further limits scope for any new process to begin. Trader consensus at 97.7% on "No" aligns with these structural and political realities. Late shifts could still occur through sudden national election outcomes or crises prompting an immediate notification by one government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
音量
$166,282終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state government has advanced Article 50 notification or related constitutional steps, reflecting sustained public support for membership across the bloc and policy focus on enlargement negotiations with candidates such as Montenegro. Eurosceptic parties remain marginal or have moderated exit positions, while recent national debates center on migration centers, fiscal rules, and defense coordination rather than withdrawal. The brief window until December 2026 further limits scope for any new process to begin. Trader consensus at 97.7% on "No" aligns with these structural and political realities. Late shifts could still occur through sudden national election outcomes or crises prompting an immediate notification by one government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$166,282終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...No EU member state government has advanced Article 50 notification or related constitutional steps, reflecting sustained public support for membership across the bloc and policy focus on enlargement negotiations with candidates such as Montenegro. Eurosceptic parties remain marginal or have moderated exit positions, while recent national debates center on migration centers, fiscal rules, and defense coordination rather than withdrawal. The brief window until December 2026 further limits scope for any new process to begin. Trader consensus at 97.7% on "No" aligns with these structural and political realities. Late shifts could still occur through sudden national election outcomes or crises prompting an immediate notification by one government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問