Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further centralization rather than evidence of factional revolt. No verified coup attempts have materialized amid China’s closed political system, and trader consensus at 95.8 percent for no attempt before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite stability and institutional loyalty. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from acute economic pressures fracturing leadership unity, unexpected health developments affecting top officials, or external crises that expose internal divisions, though such outcomes remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$135,654 Vol.
$135,654 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$135,654 Vol.
$135,654 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further centralization rather than evidence of factional revolt. No verified coup attempts have materialized amid China’s closed political system, and trader consensus at 95.8 percent for no attempt before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite stability and institutional loyalty. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from acute economic pressures fracturing leadership unity, unexpected health developments affecting top officials, or external crises that expose internal divisions, though such outcomes remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$135,654終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further centralization rather than evidence of factional revolt. No verified coup attempts have materialized amid China’s closed political system, and trader consensus at 95.8 percent for no attempt before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite stability and institutional loyalty. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from acute economic pressures fracturing leadership unity, unexpected health developments affecting top officials, or external crises that expose internal divisions, though such outcomes remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$135,654終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through repeated anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, which analysts interpret as further centralization rather than evidence of factional revolt. No verified coup attempts have materialized amid China’s closed political system, and trader consensus at 95.8 percent for no attempt before 2027 reflects this pattern of elite stability and institutional loyalty. Late-breaking shifts could still arise from acute economic pressures fracturing leadership unity, unexpected health developments affecting top officials, or external crises that expose internal divisions, though such outcomes remain low-probability events within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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