Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption and ideological purges across the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee have removed numerous senior generals and officials since 2025, including recent expulsions and investigations targeting factionalism and perceived disloyalty. These actions, continuing into September 2026 ahead of the Fifth Plenary Session, have further centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and reduced opportunities for coordinated internal challenges. Analysts assess the party’s institutional controls and leadership grip as highly secure, with no verified signs of organized opposition emerging before the 2027 party congress. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt reflects this pattern of sustained consolidation and the absence of credible recent disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
5% 確率
$156,951 Vol.
$156,951 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
5% 確率
$156,951 Vol.
$156,951 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption and ideological purges across the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee have removed numerous senior generals and officials since 2025, including recent expulsions and investigations targeting factionalism and perceived disloyalty. These actions, continuing into September 2026 ahead of the Fifth Plenary Session, have further centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and reduced opportunities for coordinated internal challenges. Analysts assess the party’s institutional controls and leadership grip as highly secure, with no verified signs of organized opposition emerging before the 2027 party congress. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt reflects this pattern of sustained consolidation and the absence of credible recent disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$156,951終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption and ideological purges across the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee have removed numerous senior generals and officials since 2025, including recent expulsions and investigations targeting factionalism and perceived disloyalty. These actions, continuing into September 2026 ahead of the Fifth Plenary Session, have further centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and reduced opportunities for coordinated internal challenges. Analysts assess the party’s institutional controls and leadership grip as highly secure, with no verified signs of organized opposition emerging before the 2027 party congress. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt reflects this pattern of sustained consolidation and the absence of credible recent disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$156,951終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive anti-corruption and ideological purges across the People’s Liberation Army and Central Committee have removed numerous senior generals and officials since 2025, including recent expulsions and investigations targeting factionalism and perceived disloyalty. These actions, continuing into September 2026 ahead of the Fifth Plenary Session, have further centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and reduced opportunities for coordinated internal challenges. Analysts assess the party’s institutional controls and leadership grip as highly secure, with no verified signs of organized opposition emerging before the 2027 party congress. Trader consensus on low odds for a coup attempt reflects this pattern of sustained consolidation and the absence of credible recent disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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