Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa's firm grip on power amid ongoing security challenges drives trader consensus favoring his continuity through June 30, 2025, with "No" odds at 66.5%. The National Assembly recently rejected an impeachment motion against him on October 15, 2024, falling short of the required two-thirds majority (79-55 vote), neutralizing a key opposition push over alleged campaign finance irregularities. Noboa's approval remains high, bolstered by aggressive anti-gang operations and a declared state of emergency since January, which have curbed violence spikes. As the February 9, 2025, presidential election approaches—where he leads early polls—traders weigh low removal risks against his re-election prospects, though political volatility persists.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa's firm grip on power amid ongoing security challenges drives trader consensus favoring his continuity through June 30, 2025, with "No" odds at 66.5%. The National Assembly recently rejected an impeachment motion against him on October 15, 2024, falling short of the required two-thirds majority (79-55 vote), neutralizing a key opposition push over alleged campaign finance irregularities. Noboa's approval remains high, bolstered by aggressive anti-gang operations and a declared state of emergency since January, which have curbed violence spikes. As the February 9, 2025, presidential election approaches—where he leads early polls—traders weigh low removal risks against his re-election prospects, though political volatility persists.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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