Trader sentiment for the Strasbourg mayoral election tilts toward Catherine Trautmann at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by recent Ifop polls showing her leading Socialist list with 28-32% first-round support and a narrow edge in runoffs against incumbent Jeanne Barseghian (42.5%). Barseghian, the Green mayor since 2020, holds steady at 24-27% amid debates over bike lane expansions and housing policies, while Jean-Philippe Veter (40.5%) garners right-wing votes around 20% from Les Républicains momentum. Recent developments include Trautmann's official candidacy launch and exploratory left-center pacts, alongside national polls signaling Socialist resurgence, boosting her as frontrunner in a fragmented field ahead of the 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日カトリーヌ・トロートマン 53%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン 43%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル 0
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
53%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
43%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
40%
カトリーヌ・トロートマン 53%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン 43%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル 0
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
カトリーヌ・トロートマン
$6 Vol.
53%
ジャンヌ・バルセギアン
$11 Vol.
43%
ジャン＝フィリップ・ヴェテル
$6 Vol.
40%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
音量
$23終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$23終了日
Mar 22, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the Strasbourg mayoral election tilts toward Catherine Trautmann at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by recent Ifop polls showing her leading Socialist list with 28-32% first-round support and a narrow edge in runoffs against incumbent Jeanne Barseghian (42.5%). Barseghian, the Green mayor since 2020, holds steady at 24-27% amid debates over bike lane expansions and housing policies, while Jean-Philippe Veter (40.5%) garners right-wing votes around 20% from Les Républicains momentum. Recent developments include Trautmann's official candidacy launch and exploratory left-center pacts, alongside national polls signaling Socialist resurgence, boosting her as frontrunner in a fragmented field ahead of the 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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