Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the People's Party at 63% implied probability to emerge as the Faroe Islands parliamentary election winner, defined by leading the next coalition government after the April 29 vote, where the Union Party took the most seats with 8 out of 33 despite only 26% support there. Recent breakdowns in Union-led talks—particularly Progress Party's withdrawal from negotiations last week—have eroded their path to a majority (17 seats needed), elevating the People's Party's prospects with 7 seats and overtures to Republic and Centre partners. Social Democrats (6 seats) and Republic (6 seats) remain key kingmakers amid stalled Løgting coalition math, with fresh talks this week potentially reshaping odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日People's Party 63%
Union Party 26%
Social Democratic Party 19%
Republic 18%

People's Party
63%

Union Party
26%

Social Democratic Party
19%

Republic
18%

Centre Party
8%

Progress
8%
People's Party 63%
Union Party 26%
Social Democratic Party 19%
Republic 18%

People's Party
63%

Union Party
26%

Social Democratic Party
19%

Republic
18%

Centre Party
8%

Progress
8%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Løgting (parliament of the Faroe Islands) as a result of the 2026 Faroese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Faroese general election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of the Faroe Islands, such as those published by Statistics Faroe Islands (https://hagstova.fo/en/society/elections/elections-faroese-parliament).
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the People's Party at 63% implied probability to emerge as the Faroe Islands parliamentary election winner, defined by leading the next coalition government after the April 29 vote, where the Union Party took the most seats with 8 out of 33 despite only 26% support there. Recent breakdowns in Union-led talks—particularly Progress Party's withdrawal from negotiations last week—have eroded their path to a majority (17 seats needed), elevating the People's Party's prospects with 7 seats and overtures to Republic and Centre partners. Social Democrats (6 seats) and Republic (6 seats) remain key kingmakers amid stalled Løgting coalition math, with fresh talks this week potentially reshaping odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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