Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at 28.4°C at the Observatory site amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with partly cloudy skies, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% consensus on 28°C. Regional observations logged 28°C at 3 p.m., aligning with above-normal April climatology—where mean maximums average 26°C—fueled by persistent warming trends in 2026. Model forecasts had anticipated such peaks from stable high-pressure influence, minimizing surprises. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station recalibrations or equipment faults, though HKO's multi-site verification renders them improbable as final bulletins finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 29?
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$641,861 Vol.
$641,861 Vol.
2026/04/29
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$641,861 Vol.
$641,861 Vol.
2026/04/29
19°C or below
$26,626 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,793 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,061 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,297 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,955 Vol.
No
24°C
$34,440 Vol.
No
25°C
$88,061 Vol.
No
26°C
$156,884 Vol.
No
27°C
$67,475 Vol.
No
28°C
$79,929 Vol.
Yes
29°C or higher
$138,340 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at 28.4°C at the Observatory site amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with partly cloudy skies, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% consensus on 28°C. Regional observations logged 28°C at 3 p.m., aligning with above-normal April climatology—where mean maximums average 26°C—fueled by persistent warming trends in 2026. Model forecasts had anticipated such peaks from stable high-pressure influence, minimizing surprises. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station recalibrations or equipment faults, though HKO's multi-site verification renders them improbable as final bulletins finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$641,861終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at 28.4°C at the Observatory site amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with partly cloudy skies, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% consensus on 28°C. Regional observations logged 28°C at 3 p.m., aligning with above-normal April climatology—where mean maximums average 26°C—fueled by persistent warming trends in 2026. Model forecasts had anticipated such peaks from stable high-pressure influence, minimizing surprises. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station recalibrations or equipment faults, though HKO's multi-site verification renders them improbable as final bulletins finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$641,861終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at 28.4°C at the Observatory site amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with partly cloudy skies, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% consensus on 28°C. Regional observations logged 28°C at 3 p.m., aligning with above-normal April climatology—where mean maximums average 26°C—fueled by persistent warming trends in 2026. Model forecasts had anticipated such peaks from stable high-pressure influence, minimizing surprises. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from station recalibrations or equipment faults, though HKO's multi-site verification renders them improbable as final bulletins finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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