Monsoon cloud cover and scattered light rain or thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh continue to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning the 31–33°C range as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 88%. Official IMD guidance forecasts a maximum of 35°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while recent model runs and historical analogs from the second half of August show actual peaks frequently 2–3°C below that due to persistent humidity above 75% and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weight the established pattern of suppressed highs during active monsoon spells more heavily than the drier-clearing scenario that would allow temperatures to reach 34°C or higher, with new short-range forecast updates and rainfall observations expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のラクナウの最高気温は？
8月26日のラクナウの最高気温は？
32°C 43%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
43%
33°C
20%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$6 Vol.
12%
31°C
$4 Vol.
27%
32°C
$9 Vol.
43%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$11 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon cloud cover and scattered light rain or thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh continue to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning the 31–33°C range as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 88%. Official IMD guidance forecasts a maximum of 35°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while recent model runs and historical analogs from the second half of August show actual peaks frequently 2–3°C below that due to persistent humidity above 75% and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weight the established pattern of suppressed highs during active monsoon spells more heavily than the drier-clearing scenario that would allow temperatures to reach 34°C or higher, with new short-range forecast updates and rainfall observations expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$31終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon cloud cover and scattered light rain or thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh continue to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning the 31–33°C range as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 88%. Official IMD guidance forecasts a maximum of 35°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while recent model runs and historical analogs from the second half of August show actual peaks frequently 2–3°C below that due to persistent humidity above 75% and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weight the established pattern of suppressed highs during active monsoon spells more heavily than the drier-clearing scenario that would allow temperatures to reach 34°C or higher, with new short-range forecast updates and rainfall observations expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$31終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETMonsoon cloud cover and scattered light rain or thundershowers over Uttar Pradesh continue to moderate daytime heating in Lucknow, positioning the 31–33°C range as the market’s leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 88%. Official IMD guidance forecasts a maximum of 35°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, while recent model runs and historical analogs from the second half of August show actual peaks frequently 2–3°C below that due to persistent humidity above 75% and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weight the established pattern of suppressed highs during active monsoon spells more heavily than the drier-clearing scenario that would allow temperatures to reach 34°C or higher, with new short-range forecast updates and rainfall observations expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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