Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月6日のマニラの最高気温は？
29°C 50%
30℃ 28%
28°C 19%
31℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
50%
30℃
28%
31℃
5%
32°C
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
29°C 50%
30℃ 28%
28°C 19%
31℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
25°C以下
$236 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$63 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$210 Vol.
19%
29°C
$3,128 Vol.
50%
30℃
$605 Vol.
28%
31℃
$313 Vol.
5%
32°C
$124 Vol.
1%
33℃
$491 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$5,842終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,842終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts and numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–31°C for Metro Manila on August 6, with 90% rain probability driven by the active southwest monsoon and lingering effects from nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers limit surface heating, favoring the market-implied 29°C outcome at 49.5% while capping upside risk above 31°C. Broader seasonal context includes an emerging El Niño signal and below-normal rainfall trends across parts of the Maritime Continent, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture influx keep daily maxima suppressed relative to clear-sky climatology around 31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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