Current forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping temperatures near long-term August averages of roughly 31°C rather than supporting spikes above 33°C. Trader consensus pricing the 32°C outcome highest reflects this model agreement and recent stability after minor cooling earlier in the week, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring the narrow forecast range and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 6%
34°C 3.9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 6%
34°C 3.9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, keeping temperatures near long-term August averages of roughly 31°C rather than supporting spikes above 33°C. Trader consensus pricing the 32°C outcome highest reflects this model agreement and recent stability after minor cooling earlier in the week, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring the narrow forecast range and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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