US and Israeli airstrikes during the Twelve-Day War in late February 2026 severely damaged Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant—buried deep underground near Qom—along with Natanz and Isfahan, as confirmed by IAEA assessments and satellite imagery showing penetration craters from GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrators. Supreme Leader Khamenei's death in the initial wave escalated the conflict, but an uneasy ceasefire has held since early April, with no verified exchanges of fire per recent Institute for the Study of War reports. Israel maintains intense satellite surveillance of Fordow's highly enriched uranium stocks, vowing strikes on any reconstitution efforts, while US naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz underscore de-escalation pressures amid stalled nuclear negotiations. Traders weigh reconstruction risks against diplomatic timelines before April 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$255,276 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月30日
4%
$255,276 Vol.
4月30日
$112,963 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes during the Twelve-Day War in late February 2026 severely damaged Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant—buried deep underground near Qom—along with Natanz and Isfahan, as confirmed by IAEA assessments and satellite imagery showing penetration craters from GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrators. Supreme Leader Khamenei's death in the initial wave escalated the conflict, but an uneasy ceasefire has held since early April, with no verified exchanges of fire per recent Institute for the Study of War reports. Israel maintains intense satellite surveillance of Fordow's highly enriched uranium stocks, vowing strikes on any reconstitution efforts, while US naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz underscore de-escalation pressures amid stalled nuclear negotiations. Traders weigh reconstruction risks against diplomatic timelines before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
音量
$255,276終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes during the Twelve-Day War in late February 2026 severely damaged Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant—buried deep underground near Qom—along with Natanz and Isfahan, as confirmed by IAEA assessments and satellite imagery showing penetration craters from GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrators. Supreme Leader Khamenei's death in the initial wave escalated the conflict, but an uneasy ceasefire has held since early April, with no verified exchanges of fire per recent Institute for the Study of War reports. Israel maintains intense satellite surveillance of Fordow's highly enriched uranium stocks, vowing strikes on any reconstitution efforts, while US naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz underscore de-escalation pressures amid stalled nuclear negotiations. Traders weigh reconstruction risks against diplomatic timelines before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$255,276終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli airstrikes during the Twelve-Day War in late February 2026 severely damaged Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant—buried deep underground near Qom—along with Natanz and Isfahan, as confirmed by IAEA assessments and satellite imagery showing penetration craters from GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrators. Supreme Leader Khamenei's death in the initial wave escalated the conflict, but an uneasy ceasefire has held since early April, with no verified exchanges of fire per recent Institute for the Study of War reports. Israel maintains intense satellite surveillance of Fordow's highly enriched uranium stocks, vowing strikes on any reconstitution efforts, while US naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz underscore de-escalation pressures amid stalled nuclear negotiations. Traders weigh reconstruction risks against diplomatic timelines before April 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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