Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の北京の最低気温は?
20°C 48%
19°C 45%
18°C 37%
22°C 36%
15°C or below
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
45%
20°C
48%
21°C
35%
22°C
36%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
5%
20°C 48%
19°C 45%
18°C 37%
22°C 36%
15°C or below
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
45%
20°C
48%
21°C
35%
22°C
36%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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