**Trader sentiment for Chicago’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on the low-to-mid 70s°F, with the top outcomes (72–73°F at 36% and 70–71°F at 33%) reflecting tight forecast spreads.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to an overnight minimum in the low 70s as a warm front and southerly flow limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. South-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25–30 mph further suppress temperature drops by enhancing mixing, while scattered showers add modest evaporative cooling but little net effect on the daily minimum. Recent developments—a warm front arriving overnight from August 29 into 30 and persistent cloud cover—have shifted expectations upward from climatological norms (average low ~64°F). This keeps 68–69°F and lower brackets at reduced implied probability despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Key variables differentiating the narrow leading bins include exact timing of any clearing (which could allow brief radiative cooling toward 70°F) versus sustained clouds and breeze holding readings near 72–73°F, plus minor model spread on dew points and wind speeds. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends showing limited downside risk below 70°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のシカゴの最低気温は？
8月30日のシカゴの最低気温は？
72〜73°F 37%
70〜71°F 33%
82°F以上 28%
74〜75°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
63°F以下
5%
64〜65°F
26%
66～67°F
26%
68〜69°F
26%
70〜71°F
33%
72〜73°F
37%
74〜75°F
27%
76〜77°F
8%
78～79°F
3%
80〜81°F
<1%
82°F以上
28%
72〜73°F 37%
70〜71°F 33%
82°F以上 28%
74〜75°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
63°F以下
$66 Vol.
5%
64〜65°F
$6 Vol.
26%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
33%
72〜73°F
$18 Vol.
37%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76〜77°F
$97 Vol.
8%
78～79°F
$32 Vol.
3%
80〜81°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
82°F以上
$22 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chicago’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on the low-to-mid 70s°F, with the top outcomes (72–73°F at 36% and 70–71°F at 33%) reflecting tight forecast spreads.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to an overnight minimum in the low 70s as a warm front and southerly flow limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. South-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25–30 mph further suppress temperature drops by enhancing mixing, while scattered showers add modest evaporative cooling but little net effect on the daily minimum.
Recent developments—a warm front arriving overnight from August 29 into 30 and persistent cloud cover—have shifted expectations upward from climatological norms (average low ~64°F). This keeps 68–69°F and lower brackets at reduced implied probability despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Key variables differentiating the narrow leading bins include exact timing of any clearing (which could allow brief radiative cooling toward 70°F) versus sustained clouds and breeze holding readings near 72–73°F, plus minor model spread on dew points and wind speeds. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends showing limited downside risk below 70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$250終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chicago’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on the low-to-mid 70s°F, with the top outcomes (72–73°F at 36% and 70–71°F at 33%) reflecting tight forecast spreads.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to an overnight minimum in the low 70s as a warm front and southerly flow limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. South-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25–30 mph further suppress temperature drops by enhancing mixing, while scattered showers add modest evaporative cooling but little net effect on the daily minimum.
Recent developments—a warm front arriving overnight from August 29 into 30 and persistent cloud cover—have shifted expectations upward from climatological norms (average low ~64°F). This keeps 68–69°F and lower brackets at reduced implied probability despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Key variables differentiating the narrow leading bins include exact timing of any clearing (which could allow brief radiative cooling toward 70°F) versus sustained clouds and breeze holding readings near 72–73°F, plus minor model spread on dew points and wind speeds. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends showing limited downside risk below 70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$250終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Chicago’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on the low-to-mid 70s°F, with the top outcomes (72–73°F at 36% and 70–71°F at 33%) reflecting tight forecast spreads.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to an overnight minimum in the low 70s as a warm front and southerly flow limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. South-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25–30 mph further suppress temperature drops by enhancing mixing, while scattered showers add modest evaporative cooling but little net effect on the daily minimum. Recent developments—a warm front arriving overnight from August 29 into 30 and persistent cloud cover—have shifted expectations upward from climatological norms (average low ~64°F). This keeps 68–69°F and lower brackets at reduced implied probability despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Key variables differentiating the narrow leading bins include exact timing of any clearing (which could allow brief radiative cooling toward 70°F) versus sustained clouds and breeze holding readings near 72–73°F, plus minor model spread on dew points and wind speeds. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends showing limited downside risk below 70°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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