Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月26日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
17°C or below
55%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
89%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
89%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
55%
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
89%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問