Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
8月25日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
華氏63度以下 90%
72～73°F 51%
68〜69°F 28%
66〜67°F 23%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
華氏63度以下
90%
64〜65°F
23%
66〜67°F
23%
68〜69°F
27%
70〜71°F
29%
72～73°F
28%
74～75°F
7%
76〜77°F
8%
78～79°F
1%
80～81°F
2%
82°F以上
-
華氏63度以下 90%
72～73°F 51%
68〜69°F 28%
66〜67°F 23%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
華氏63度以下
$150 Vol.
90%
64〜65°F
$90 Vol.
23%
66〜67°F
$36 Vol.
23%
68〜69°F
$32 Vol.
27%
70〜71°F
$18 Vol.
29%
72～73°F
$11 Vol.
28%
74～75°F
$1,024 Vol.
7%
76〜77°F
$90 Vol.
8%
78～79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$140 Vol.
2%
82°F以上
$279 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$1,881終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,881終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETOngoing Southern California heat wave conditions, with highs reaching 95–103°F and heat advisories in effect through midweek, are elevating overnight lows by limiting radiational cooling under strong high pressure. National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 project minimum temperatures in the lower to mid-70s°F at Los Angeles International Airport and coastal areas, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 65°F. Marine layer development or shifts in onshore flow could still allow localized cooling toward 63°F or below, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability on that outcome. Conversely, persistent warm advection and reduced fog keep warmer minimum bins (including 82°F+) competitively priced at 30%. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings on steering patterns will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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