Recent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のマニラの最低気温は?
21°C以下 53%
31°C以上 53%
25°C 50%
23℃ 48%
21°C以下
53%
22°C
20%
23℃
48%
24℃
48%
25°C
50%
26℃
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29℃
48%
30℃
2%
31°C以上
53%
21°C以下 53%
31°C以上 53%
25°C 50%
23℃ 48%
21°C以下
53%
22°C
20%
23℃
48%
24℃
48%
25°C
50%
26℃
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29℃
48%
30℃
2%
31°C以上
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models indicating minimum temperatures for August 26 likely near 26–27 °C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows at 24–26 °C, but persistent moisture and light southwesterly winds currently support slightly warmer minima while also introducing forecast spread from variable precipitation timing. Multiple global and regional models show close agreement on the daily range yet diverge on exact nocturnal cooling rates, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27 °C. PAGASA’s next regional update and fresh model runs within the next 24 hours will refine the lowest-temperature outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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