Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 80°F early on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average dew points maintained overnight warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 77°F, with no cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to drive lower readings. Recent model consensus and station data showed limited variability, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. Revisions to the official daily summary or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, though such changes remain rare for this threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のマイアミの最低気温は?
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,110 Vol.
$4,110 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,110 Vol.
$4,110 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 80°F early on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average dew points maintained overnight warmth well above the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 77°F, with no cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling to drive lower readings. Recent model consensus and station data showed limited variability, reinforcing trader consensus on the outcome. Revisions to the official daily summary or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, though such changes remain rare for this threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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