Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds as the main driver keeping Seattle's lowest temperature on August 30 in the mid-50s. Dew points near 50–53 °F and a stable marine air mass limit further drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 55.5 °F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing separating the tightly bunched 52–57 °F outcomes. No significant frontal passage or stronger onshore flow is expected before resolution, so updated model runs and evening observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のシアトルの最低気温は？
8月30日のシアトルの最低気温は？
54～55°F 37%
56～57°F 30%
52～53°F 30%
60～61°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
45°F以下
7%
46～47°F
10%
48～49°F
23%
50～51°F
26%
52～53°F
30%
54～55°F
37%
56～57°F
30%
58～59°F
27%
60～61°F
28%
62〜63°F
7%
64°F以上
4%
54～55°F 37%
56～57°F 30%
52～53°F 30%
60～61°F 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
45°F以下
$5 Vol.
7%
46～47°F
$5 Vol.
10%
48～49°F
$0 Vol.
23%
50～51°F
$0 Vol.
26%
52～53°F
$0 Vol.
30%
54～55°F
$0 Vol.
37%
56～57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58～59°F
$0 Vol.
27%
60～61°F
$5 Vol.
28%
62〜63°F
$5 Vol.
7%
64°F以上
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds as the main driver keeping Seattle's lowest temperature on August 30 in the mid-50s. Dew points near 50–53 °F and a stable marine air mass limit further drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 55.5 °F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing separating the tightly bunched 52–57 °F outcomes. No significant frontal passage or stronger onshore flow is expected before resolution, so updated model runs and evening observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$25終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds as the main driver keeping Seattle's lowest temperature on August 30 in the mid-50s. Dew points near 50–53 °F and a stable marine air mass limit further drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 55.5 °F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing separating the tightly bunched 52–57 °F outcomes. No significant frontal passage or stronger onshore flow is expected before resolution, so updated model runs and evening observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$25終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds as the main driver keeping Seattle's lowest temperature on August 30 in the mid-50s. Dew points near 50–53 °F and a stable marine air mass limit further drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 55.5 °F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing separating the tightly bunched 52–57 °F outcomes. No significant frontal passage or stronger onshore flow is expected before resolution, so updated model runs and evening observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問