Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely falling in the 22–26°C range, as a moderating high-pressure system and variable cloud cover limit strong radiative cooling overnight. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C alongside the leading 27°C-or-higher outcome, reflecting model spread on dew points near 20–22°C and light northerly winds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical August baselines average around 23°C for lows, but recent mid-month variability with frequent showers has kept trader consensus sensitive to any last-minute shifts in humidity or cloud persistence before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の東京の最低気温は？
8月30日の東京の最低気温は？
27°C or higher 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
39%
21°C
48%
22°C
29%
23°C
27%
24°C
39%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
69%
27°C or higher 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely falling in the 22–26°C range, as a moderating high-pressure system and variable cloud cover limit strong radiative cooling overnight. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C alongside the leading 27°C-or-higher outcome, reflecting model spread on dew points near 20–22°C and light northerly winds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical August baselines average around 23°C for lows, but recent mid-month variability with frequent showers has kept trader consensus sensitive to any last-minute shifts in humidity or cloud persistence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely falling in the 22–26°C range, as a moderating high-pressure system and variable cloud cover limit strong radiative cooling overnight. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C alongside the leading 27°C-or-higher outcome, reflecting model spread on dew points near 20–22°C and light northerly winds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical August baselines average around 23°C for lows, but recent mid-month variability with frequent showers has kept trader consensus sensitive to any last-minute shifts in humidity or cloud persistence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 30 likely falling in the 22–26°C range, as a moderating high-pressure system and variable cloud cover limit strong radiative cooling overnight. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C alongside the leading 27°C-or-higher outcome, reflecting model spread on dew points near 20–22°C and light northerly winds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical August baselines average around 23°C for lows, but recent mid-month variability with frequent showers has kept trader consensus sensitive to any last-minute shifts in humidity or cloud persistence before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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