Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a potential southerly change introducing cooler maritime air after a warmer northerly flow. This shift, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible frontal rain, drives the spread between projected lows near 11–12 °C and scenarios for sharper cooling below 8 °C or milder conditions above 18 °C. Wellington's exposed coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and timing of the change, while historical September variability underscores the challenge of pinpointing exact overnight thresholds amid diverging model solutions expected to update with new satellite and surface data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
9月6日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8℃以下 69%
18℃以上 69%
10℃ 49%
14°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8℃以下
69%
9°C
21%
10℃
49%
11℃
26%
12°C
26%
13℃
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16℃
8%
17℃
2%
18℃以上
69%
8℃以下 69%
18℃以上 69%
10℃ 49%
14°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8℃以下
$0 Vol.
69%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10℃
$0 Vol.
49%
11℃
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13℃
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16℃
$0 Vol.
8%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a potential southerly change introducing cooler maritime air after a warmer northerly flow. This shift, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible frontal rain, drives the spread between projected lows near 11–12 °C and scenarios for sharper cooling below 8 °C or milder conditions above 18 °C. Wellington's exposed coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and timing of the change, while historical September variability underscores the challenge of pinpointing exact overnight thresholds amid diverging model solutions expected to update with new satellite and surface data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a potential southerly change introducing cooler maritime air after a warmer northerly flow. This shift, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible frontal rain, drives the spread between projected lows near 11–12 °C and scenarios for sharper cooling below 8 °C or milder conditions above 18 °C. Wellington's exposed coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and timing of the change, while historical September variability underscores the challenge of pinpointing exact overnight thresholds amid diverging model solutions expected to update with new satellite and surface data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model runs highlight uncertainty in Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing a potential southerly change introducing cooler maritime air after a warmer northerly flow. This shift, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible frontal rain, drives the spread between projected lows near 11–12 °C and scenarios for sharper cooling below 8 °C or milder conditions above 18 °C. Wellington's exposed coastal location amplifies sensitivity to wind direction and timing of the change, while historical September variability underscores the challenge of pinpointing exact overnight thresholds amid diverging model solutions expected to update with new satellite and surface data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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