President Trump's repeated signals of winding down U.S. military operations against Iran—launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership—have not yet materialized into a formal announcement, as airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade, and sanctions continue amid stalled diplomacy. Over the past week, ceasefire talks collapsed in Islamabad after Iran rejected a U.S. proposal for a 20-year uranium enrichment pause in exchange for asset releases; yesterday, Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic war powers resolution seeking to limit the campaign. Diplomats are preparing a new round of negotiations, while U.S. strikes have reportedly destroyed 80-90% of Iran's air defenses and ballistic missile production, though capabilities persist and Israeli operations loom as potential escalators. Trader consensus reflects optimism for resolution by summer, tempered by diplomatic hurdles and congressional dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,386,919 Vol.
2026/06/30
4月15日
<1%
4月21日
20%
4月30日
43%
5月31日
74%
6月30日
83%
$26,386,919 Vol.
4月15日
$9,284,807 Vol.
<1%
4月21日
$1,103,756 Vol.
20%
4月30日
$5,226,334 Vol.
43%
5月31日
$336,353 Vol.
74%
6月30日
$1,925,093 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's repeated signals of winding down U.S. military operations against Iran—launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership—have not yet materialized into a formal announcement, as airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade, and sanctions continue amid stalled diplomacy. Over the past week, ceasefire talks collapsed in Islamabad after Iran rejected a U.S. proposal for a 20-year uranium enrichment pause in exchange for asset releases; yesterday, Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic war powers resolution seeking to limit the campaign. Diplomats are preparing a new round of negotiations, while U.S. strikes have reportedly destroyed 80-90% of Iran's air defenses and ballistic missile production, though capabilities persist and Israeli operations loom as potential escalators. Trader consensus reflects optimism for resolution by summer, tempered by diplomatic hurdles and congressional dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$26,386,919終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's repeated signals of winding down U.S. military operations against Iran—launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership—have not yet materialized into a formal announcement, as airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade, and sanctions continue amid stalled diplomacy. Over the past week, ceasefire talks collapsed in Islamabad after Iran rejected a U.S. proposal for a 20-year uranium enrichment pause in exchange for asset releases; yesterday, Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic war powers resolution seeking to limit the campaign. Diplomats are preparing a new round of negotiations, while U.S. strikes have reportedly destroyed 80-90% of Iran's air defenses and ballistic missile production, though capabilities persist and Israeli operations loom as potential escalators. Trader consensus reflects optimism for resolution by summer, tempered by diplomatic hurdles and congressional dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$26,386,919終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's repeated signals of winding down U.S. military operations against Iran—launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership—have not yet materialized into a formal announcement, as airstrikes, a Strait of Hormuz blockade, and sanctions continue amid stalled diplomacy. Over the past week, ceasefire talks collapsed in Islamabad after Iran rejected a U.S. proposal for a 20-year uranium enrichment pause in exchange for asset releases; yesterday, Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic war powers resolution seeking to limit the campaign. Diplomats are preparing a new round of negotiations, while U.S. strikes have reportedly destroyed 80-90% of Iran's air defenses and ballistic missile production, though capabilities persist and Israeli operations loom as potential escalators. Trader consensus reflects optimism for resolution by summer, tempered by diplomatic hurdles and congressional dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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