Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) victory in the June 3, 2026 local elections at 96.6%, driven by the party's commanding poll leads following President Lee Jae-myung's 2025 election win after ex-President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal over the 2024 martial law fiasco. Recent Gallup Korea and Realmeter surveys show DPK support at 48-51% nationally, with double-digit edges in pivotal mayoral races—such as Seoul (DPK 52% vs. PPP 37%) and Busan (51% vs. 40%)—even penetrating PPP conservative strongholds like Daegu amid the main opposition's approval cratering to 17-20% due to internal divisions. While PPP trails at 2.9%, a DPK scandal, high undecided turnout shift, or President Lee's approval dip below recent 66% peaks could narrow gaps before early voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 대한민국 지방선거: 당선자
2026년 대한민국 지방선거: 당선자
더불어민주당(DP) 96.6%
국민의힘(PPP) 2.9%
진보당(PP) <1%
개혁당(RP) <1%
$2,235,470 거래량
$2,235,470 거래량

더불어민주당(DP)
97%

국민의힘(PPP)
3%

진보당(PP)
<1%

개혁당(RP)
<1%

재건한국당(RKP)
<1%
더불어민주당(DP) 96.6%
국민의힘(PPP) 2.9%
진보당(PP) <1%
개혁당(RP) <1%
$2,235,470 거래량
$2,235,470 거래량

더불어민주당(DP)
97%

국민의힘(PPP)
3%

진보당(PP)
<1%

개혁당(RP)
<1%

재건한국당(RKP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) victory in the June 3, 2026 local elections at 96.6%, driven by the party's commanding poll leads following President Lee Jae-myung's 2025 election win after ex-President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal over the 2024 martial law fiasco. Recent Gallup Korea and Realmeter surveys show DPK support at 48-51% nationally, with double-digit edges in pivotal mayoral races—such as Seoul (DPK 52% vs. PPP 37%) and Busan (51% vs. 40%)—even penetrating PPP conservative strongholds like Daegu amid the main opposition's approval cratering to 17-20% due to internal divisions. While PPP trails at 2.9%, a DPK scandal, high undecided turnout shift, or President Lee's approval dip below recent 66% peaks could narrow gaps before early voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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