Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 63% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, fueled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a 10-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 advantage. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million, signals robust campaign resources amid her focus on local issues like fisheries and family priorities. Sullivan retains 34% backing as the Republican incumbent in a state leaning GOP, with the nonpartisan primary set for mid-August and general election November 3 under ranked-choice rules; minor candidates trail far behind.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트메리 펠톨라 63%
댄 설리반 34%
더스틴 다든 <1%
앤 디너 <1%
$301,963 거래량
$301,963 거래량
2026.11.03
메리 펠톨라
63%
댄 설리반
34%
더스틴 다든
<1%
앤 디너
<1%
리처드 그레이슨
<1%
메리 펠톨라 63%
댄 설리반 34%
더스틴 다든 <1%
앤 디너 <1%
$301,963 거래량
$301,963 거래량
2026.11.03
메리 펠톨라
$152,310 거래량
63%
댄 설리반
$83,369 거래량
34%
더스틴 다든
$18,670 거래량
<1%
앤 디너
$30,709 거래량
<1%
리처드 그레이슨
$16,906 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 63% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, fueled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a 10-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 advantage. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million, signals robust campaign resources amid her focus on local issues like fisheries and family priorities. Sullivan retains 34% backing as the Republican incumbent in a state leaning GOP, with the nonpartisan primary set for mid-August and general election November 3 under ranked-choice rules; minor candidates trail far behind.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
거래량
$301,963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 63% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, fueled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a 10-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 advantage. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million, signals robust campaign resources amid her focus on local issues like fisheries and family priorities. Sullivan retains 34% backing as the Republican incumbent in a state leaning GOP, with the nonpartisan primary set for mid-August and general election November 3 under ranked-choice rules; minor candidates trail far behind.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
거래량
$301,963종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 63% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, fueled by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round—a 10-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 advantage. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million, quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million, signals robust campaign resources amid her focus on local issues like fisheries and family priorities. Sullivan retains 34% backing as the Republican incumbent in a state leaning GOP, with the nonpartisan primary set for mid-August and general election November 3 under ranked-choice rules; minor candidates trail far behind.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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