Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마크 램 88%
트래비스 그랜섬 4.2%
Jay Feely 2.5%
$44,734 거래량
$44,734 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
88%
트래비스 그랜섬
4%
Jay Feely
3%
마크 램 88%
트래비스 그랜섬 4.2%
Jay Feely 2.5%
$44,734 거래량
$44,734 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
$2,119 거래량
88%
트래비스 그랜섬
$1,120 거래량
4%
Jay Feely
$41,495 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
거래량
$44,734종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$44,734종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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