Progressive Bulgaria (PB) holds a commanding 97.5% implied probability on Polymarket to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained 30-34% lead in recent opinion polls amid the eighth national vote since 2021 due to chronic coalition negotiation failures. A April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support—potentially 90 seats—bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's endorsement and anti-establishment sentiment against GERB–SDS (19%), PP–DB (12%), and DPS (11%). This dominance stems from last week's consistent polling trends amid voter fatigue, with low odds for rivals. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, undetected polling error, or differential turnout favoring established parties, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.7%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$202,398 거래량
$202,398 거래량
2026.04.19
PB
98%
GERB–SDS
2%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
벨리치에
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-연합 좌파
<1%
MECH
<1%
브ъзраждан
<1%
PB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.7%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$202,398 거래량
$202,398 거래량
2026.04.19
PB
$73,716 거래량
98%
GERB–SDS
$29,555 거래량
2%
PP–DB
$28,079 거래량
1%
DPS
$4,252 거래량
<1%
ITN
$11,889 거래량
<1%
벨리치에
$15,738 거래량
<1%
APS
$11,608 거래량
<1%
BSP-연합 좌파
$7,898 거래량
<1%
MECH
$10,144 거래량
<1%
브ъзраждан
$9,543 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) holds a commanding 97.5% implied probability on Polymarket to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained 30-34% lead in recent opinion polls amid the eighth national vote since 2021 due to chronic coalition negotiation failures. A April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support—potentially 90 seats—bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's endorsement and anti-establishment sentiment against GERB–SDS (19%), PP–DB (12%), and DPS (11%). This dominance stems from last week's consistent polling trends amid voter fatigue, with low odds for rivals. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, undetected polling error, or differential turnout favoring established parties, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
거래량
$202,398종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) holds a commanding 97.5% implied probability on Polymarket to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained 30-34% lead in recent opinion polls amid the eighth national vote since 2021 due to chronic coalition negotiation failures. A April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support—potentially 90 seats—bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's endorsement and anti-establishment sentiment against GERB–SDS (19%), PP–DB (12%), and DPS (11%). This dominance stems from last week's consistent polling trends amid voter fatigue, with low odds for rivals. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, undetected polling error, or differential turnout favoring established parties, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$202,398종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB) holds a commanding 97.5% implied probability on Polymarket to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained 30-34% lead in recent opinion polls amid the eighth national vote since 2021 due to chronic coalition negotiation failures. A April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support—potentially 90 seats—bolstered by former President Rumen Radev's endorsement and anti-establishment sentiment against GERB–SDS (19%), PP–DB (12%), and DPS (11%). This dominance stems from last week's consistent polling trends amid voter fatigue, with low odds for rivals. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, undetected polling error, or differential turnout favoring established parties, though structural barriers make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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