Trader consensus on Polymarket positions incumbent President Iliana Iotova as the frontrunner at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, reflecting her incumbency advantage and visibility amid ongoing political instability. Iotova assumed the presidency after Rumen Radev's March resignation to form a new alliance, and recent actions—like appointing a caretaker prime minister in February, scheduling snap parliamentary elections for April 19, and stressing fair voting on April 8—bolster her image as a stabilizing figure eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 26.5% as a reformist from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria, buoyed by his prior premiership, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov at 13% faces headwinds from his government's December collapse. Fragmented parliamentary polls, with Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading, underscore a competitive multi-candidate first round under Bulgaria's two-round system.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트일리아나 이오토바 42%
니콜라이 덴코프 27%
로센 젤리아즈코프 13%
블라고미르 코체프 8.8%
$63,545 거래량
$63,545 거래량
일리아나 이오토바
42%
니콜라이 덴코프
27%
로센 젤리아즈코프
13%
블라고미르 코체프
9%
보이코 보리소프
4%
바사일 테르지에프
3%
로센 플레브넬리예프
2%
코스타딘 코스타디노프
2%
야나키 스토일로프
2%
아타나스 아타나소프
1%
델리안 페브스키
1%
크룸 자르코프
1%
나탈리아 키셀로바
1%
일리아나 이오토바 42%
니콜라이 덴코프 27%
로센 젤리아즈코프 13%
블라고미르 코체프 8.8%
$63,545 거래량
$63,545 거래량
일리아나 이오토바
42%
니콜라이 덴코프
27%
로센 젤리아즈코프
13%
블라고미르 코체프
9%
보이코 보리소프
4%
바사일 테르지에프
3%
로센 플레브넬리예프
2%
코스타딘 코스타디노프
2%
야나키 스토일로프
2%
아타나스 아타나소프
1%
델리안 페브스키
1%
크룸 자르코프
1%
나탈리아 키셀로바
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions incumbent President Iliana Iotova as the frontrunner at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, reflecting her incumbency advantage and visibility amid ongoing political instability. Iotova assumed the presidency after Rumen Radev's March resignation to form a new alliance, and recent actions—like appointing a caretaker prime minister in February, scheduling snap parliamentary elections for April 19, and stressing fair voting on April 8—bolster her image as a stabilizing figure eligible for a full term. Nikolai Denkov trails at 26.5% as a reformist from We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria, buoyed by his prior premiership, while GERB's Rosen Zhelyazkov at 13% faces headwinds from his government's December collapse. Fragmented parliamentary polls, with Radev's Progressive Bulgaria leading, underscore a competitive multi-candidate first round under Bulgaria's two-round system.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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