Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트일리아나 이오토바 42%
니콜라이 덴코프 27%
로센 젤리아즈코프 13%
블라고미르 코체프 8.8%
$63,445 거래량
$63,445 거래량
일리아나 이오토바
42%
니콜라이 덴코프
27%
로센 젤리아즈코프
13%
블라고미르 코체프
9%
보이코 보리소프
4%
바사일 테르지에프
3%
로센 플레브넬리예프
2%
코스타딘 코스타디노프
2%
야나키 스토일로프
2%
아타나스 아타나소프
1%
델리안 페브스키
1%
크룸 자르코프
1%
나탈리아 키셀로바
1%
일리아나 이오토바 42%
니콜라이 덴코프 27%
로센 젤리아즈코프 13%
블라고미르 코체프 8.8%
$63,445 거래량
$63,445 거래량
일리아나 이오토바
42%
니콜라이 덴코프
27%
로센 젤리아즈코프
13%
블라고미르 코체프
9%
보이코 보리소프
4%
바사일 테르지에프
3%
로센 플레브넬리예프
2%
코스타딘 코스타디노프
2%
야나키 스토일로프
2%
아타나스 아타나소프
1%
델리안 페브스키
1%
크룸 자르코프
1%
나탈리아 키셀로바
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the fall 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, bolstered by her elevation to the presidency in January following Rumen Radev's resignation—term limits bar his reelection—and her subsequent actions, including vetoing electoral code amendments and scheduling the April 19 snap parliamentary vote amid eighth election cycle since 2021. Nikolai Denkov, former prime minister from the pro-EU reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, trails at 26.5%, reflecting his party's competitive parliamentary positioning despite fragmentation. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13% stems from GERB's recovery post his December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. No recent presidential polls exist; outcomes hinge on parliamentary results and coalition dynamics in the two-round direct vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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