Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new anti-establishment alliance backed by former President Rumen Radev—leading at 32-37%, with GERB-SDS solidly in second at 19-21%, creating trader consensus of overwhelming odds for the centre-right bloc's runner-up finish. This positioning stems from consistent survey trends over the past two weeks, including Market Links (37% PB, 21% GERB-SDS) and Sova Harris (34% PB, 19% GERB-SDS), reflecting GERB-SDS's established base amid fragmented opposition from PP-DB (11-13%), DPS, and nationalists like Vazrazhdane. With voting imminent, a late surge by undecideds tilting toward PP-DB or shifts in turnout could challenge this, though no majority is projected, complicating coalition negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트GERB-SDS 96.2%
PB 2.5%
PP–DB 1.8%
DPS <1%
$58,986 거래량
$58,986 거래량
2026.04.19
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
3%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
벨리치에
<1%
바즈라즈다네
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 96.2%
PB 2.5%
PP–DB 1.8%
DPS <1%
$58,986 거래량
$58,986 거래량
2026.04.19
GERB-SDS
$25,289 거래량
96%
PB
$8,652 거래량
3%
PP–DB
$8,360 거래량
2%
DPS
$1,604 거래량
<1%
벨리치에
$2,145 거래량
<1%
바즈라즈다네
$2,132 거래량
<1%
BSP
$2,002 거래량
<1%
ITN
$2,145 거래량
<1%
APS
$3,977 거래량
<1%
MECh
$2,992 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new anti-establishment alliance backed by former President Rumen Radev—leading at 32-37%, with GERB-SDS solidly in second at 19-21%, creating trader consensus of overwhelming odds for the centre-right bloc's runner-up finish. This positioning stems from consistent survey trends over the past two weeks, including Market Links (37% PB, 21% GERB-SDS) and Sova Harris (34% PB, 19% GERB-SDS), reflecting GERB-SDS's established base amid fragmented opposition from PP-DB (11-13%), DPS, and nationalists like Vazrazhdane. With voting imminent, a late surge by undecideds tilting toward PP-DB or shifts in turnout could challenge this, though no majority is projected, complicating coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
거래량
$58,986종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new anti-establishment alliance backed by former President Rumen Radev—leading at 32-37%, with GERB-SDS solidly in second at 19-21%, creating trader consensus of overwhelming odds for the centre-right bloc's runner-up finish. This positioning stems from consistent survey trends over the past two weeks, including Market Links (37% PB, 21% GERB-SDS) and Sova Harris (34% PB, 19% GERB-SDS), reflecting GERB-SDS's established base amid fragmented opposition from PP-DB (11-13%), DPS, and nationalists like Vazrazhdane. With voting imminent, a late surge by undecideds tilting toward PP-DB or shifts in turnout could challenge this, though no majority is projected, complicating coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$58,986종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new anti-establishment alliance backed by former President Rumen Radev—leading at 32-37%, with GERB-SDS solidly in second at 19-21%, creating trader consensus of overwhelming odds for the centre-right bloc's runner-up finish. This positioning stems from consistent survey trends over the past two weeks, including Market Links (37% PB, 21% GERB-SDS) and Sova Harris (34% PB, 19% GERB-SDS), reflecting GERB-SDS's established base amid fragmented opposition from PP-DB (11-13%), DPS, and nationalists like Vazrazhdane. With voting imminent, a late surge by undecideds tilting toward PP-DB or shifts in turnout could challenge this, though no majority is projected, complicating coalition negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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