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불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위

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선거·글로벌 선거

불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위

PP–DB 78%

DPS 16%

부흥당 3.8%

GERB-SDS 3.3%

Polymarket

$80,808 거래량

PP–DB 78%

DPS 16%

부흥당 3.8%

GERB-SDS 3.3%

Polymarket

$80,808 거래량

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 ‘우리는 변화를 계속한다–민주 불가리아(PP–DB)’가 3위를 할까요? icon

PP–DB

$23,895 거래량

78%

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 권리와 자유를 위한 운동(DPS)이 3위를 차지할까요? icon

DPS

$12,803 거래량

16%

부흥당(Vazrazhdane)이 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 3위를 차지할까요? icon

부흥당

$3,114 거래량

4%

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 GERB-UDF(GERB-SDS)가 3위를 할까요? icon

GERB-SDS

$10,148 거래량

3%

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 도덕, 통합, 명예(MECh)가 3위를 차지할까요? icon

MECh

$3,263 거래량

<1%

통합좌파(BSP)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 3위를 차지할까요? icon

BSP

$20,073 거래량

<1%

2026년 불가리아 총선에서 ‘이런 국민이 있다(ITN)’가 3위를 차지할까요? icon

ITN

$2,065 거래량

<1%

진보 불가리아(PB)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 3위를 차지할까요? icon

PB

$1,575 거래량

<1%

동맹권리와 자유연합(APS)이 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 3위를 차지할까요? icon

APS

$2,076 거래량

<1%

벨리치에(벨리치에)가 2026년 불가리아 총선에서 3위를 할까요? icon

벨리치에

$1,802 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$80,808
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$80,808
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 78%의 "PP–DB"이며, 이어서 17%의 "DPS"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 78¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위"은 총 $80.8K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 27, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위"의 현재 유력 후보는 78%의 "PP–DB"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 17%의 "DPS"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"불가리아 국회의원 선거: 3위"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.