Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the United Hearts Movement (MCU), President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's ruling party, at 98% implied probability for securing the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the 2025-2026 legislative elections. MCU dominated the first round on December 28, 2025, winning 50-60 seats outright per provisional results validated by the Constitutional Court in February-March 2026, amid opposition weaknesses and security constraints limiting contests in rebel-held areas. The president's certified landslide re-election further bolstered MCU momentum into the second round on April 5, 2026. Minimal gains by rivals like UNDP (1 seat), MOUNI (2 seats), or KNK reflect fragmented opposition. Challenges would require unprecedented court reversals or second-round upsets, deemed improbable by bettors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트통합민족연합(MCU) 98.2%
MLPC 3.1%
KNK 3.1%
국민민주진보연합 2.9%
$111,420 거래량
$111,420 거래량
2025.12.28
통합민족연합(MCU)
98%
MLPC
3%
KNK
3%
국민민주진보연합
3%
RDC
1%
URCA
1%
MOUNI
<1%
통합민족연합(MCU) 98.2%
MLPC 3.1%
KNK 3.1%
국민민주진보연합 2.9%
$111,420 거래량
$111,420 거래량
2025.12.28
통합민족연합(MCU)
$31,155 거래량
98%
MLPC
$6,606 거래량
3%
KNK
$7,412 거래량
3%
국민민주진보연합
$12,785 거래량
3%
RDC
$6,168 거래량
1%
URCA
$40,931 거래량
1%
MOUNI
$6,363 거래량
<1%
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the United Hearts Movement (MCU), President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's ruling party, at 98% implied probability for securing the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the 2025-2026 legislative elections. MCU dominated the first round on December 28, 2025, winning 50-60 seats outright per provisional results validated by the Constitutional Court in February-March 2026, amid opposition weaknesses and security constraints limiting contests in rebel-held areas. The president's certified landslide re-election further bolstered MCU momentum into the second round on April 5, 2026. Minimal gains by rivals like UNDP (1 seat), MOUNI (2 seats), or KNK reflect fragmented opposition. Challenges would require unprecedented court reversals or second-round upsets, deemed improbable by bettors.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
거래량
$111,420종료일
2025.12.28마켓 개설일
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the United Hearts Movement (MCU), President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's ruling party, at 98% implied probability for securing the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the 2025-2026 legislative elections. MCU dominated the first round on December 28, 2025, winning 50-60 seats outright per provisional results validated by the Constitutional Court in February-March 2026, amid opposition weaknesses and security constraints limiting contests in rebel-held areas. The president's certified landslide re-election further bolstered MCU momentum into the second round on April 5, 2026. Minimal gains by rivals like UNDP (1 seat), MOUNI (2 seats), or KNK reflect fragmented opposition. Challenges would require unprecedented court reversals or second-round upsets, deemed improbable by bettors.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
거래량
$111,420종료일
2025.12.28마켓 개설일
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the United Hearts Movement (MCU), President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's ruling party, at 98% implied probability for securing the most seats in the Central African Republic's National Assembly following the 2025-2026 legislative elections. MCU dominated the first round on December 28, 2025, winning 50-60 seats outright per provisional results validated by the Constitutional Court in February-March 2026, amid opposition weaknesses and security constraints limiting contests in rebel-held areas. The president's certified landslide re-election further bolstered MCU momentum into the second round on April 5, 2026. Minimal gains by rivals like UNDP (1 seat), MOUNI (2 seats), or KNK reflect fragmented opposition. Challenges would require unprecedented court reversals or second-round upsets, deemed improbable by bettors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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