Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting strong momentum from a April 14 report by The Information citing sources that the large language model and a new AI design tool are primed for launch this week. This follows Anthropic's recent Claude Code desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—widely viewed as a precursor to major model drops, alongside early April source code leaks referencing Opus 4.7. Amid competitive pressures from delayed rivals like GPT-5, these signals have compressed timelines, sidelining later dates below 4% while highlighting today's resolution window as the key catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 89%
4월 17일 4.9%
4월 20일 3.2%
4월 21일 2.1%
신규
$83,321 거래량
신규
$83,321 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
89%
4월 17일
5%
4월 18일
2%
4월 19일
2%
4월 20일
3%
4월 21일
2%
4월 22일
1%
4월 23일
1%
4월 24일
1%
4월 25일
1%
4월 26일
<1%
4월 27일
1%
4월 28일
<1%
4월 29일
<1%
4월 30일
<1%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
1%
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 89%
4월 17일 4.9%
4월 20일 3.2%
4월 21일 2.1%
신규
$83,321 거래량
신규
$83,321 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
$34,907 거래량
89%
4월 17일
$6,344 거래량
5%
4월 18일
$5,077 거래량
2%
4월 19일
$4,076 거래량
2%
4월 20일
$3,574 거래량
3%
4월 21일
$2,902 거래량
2%
4월 22일
$2,479 거래량
1%
4월 23일
$2,411 거래량
1%
4월 24일
$2,570 거래량
1%
4월 25일
$2,903 거래량
1%
4월 26일
$2,892 거래량
<1%
4월 27일
$2,786 거래량
1%
4월 28일
$2,039 거래량
<1%
4월 29일
$1,827 거래량
<1%
4월 30일
$1,571 거래량
<1%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
$4,979 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting strong momentum from a April 14 report by The Information citing sources that the large language model and a new AI design tool are primed for launch this week. This follows Anthropic's recent Claude Code desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—widely viewed as a precursor to major model drops, alongside early April source code leaks referencing Opus 4.7. Amid competitive pressures from delayed rivals like GPT-5, these signals have compressed timelines, sidelining later dates below 4% while highlighting today's resolution window as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
거래량
$83,321종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting strong momentum from a April 14 report by The Information citing sources that the large language model and a new AI design tool are primed for launch this week. This follows Anthropic's recent Claude Code desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—widely viewed as a precursor to major model drops, alongside early April source code leaks referencing Opus 4.7. Amid competitive pressures from delayed rivals like GPT-5, these signals have compressed timelines, sidelining later dates below 4% while highlighting today's resolution window as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$83,321종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, reflecting strong momentum from a April 14 report by The Information citing sources that the large language model and a new AI design tool are primed for launch this week. This follows Anthropic's recent Claude Code desktop app redesign—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—widely viewed as a precursor to major model drops, alongside early April source code leaks referencing Opus 4.7. Amid competitive pressures from delayed rivals like GPT-5, these signals have compressed timelines, sidelining later dates below 4% while highlighting today's resolution window as the key catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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