Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's strong position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from his prior victories by double-digit margins, high name recognition, and the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests, reinforced by his unopposed primary win in March 2026. The rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary, highlights limited opposition viability in a state where urban and suburban voter coalitions favor Democrats. Trader consensus around 91-92% for the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors alongside polling trends showing comfortable leads. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high national turnout swings could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
92%
Republican
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$2,057 거래량
92%
Republican
$2,658 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's strong position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from his prior victories by double-digit margins, high name recognition, and the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests, reinforced by his unopposed primary win in March 2026. The rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary, highlights limited opposition viability in a state where urban and suburban voter coalitions favor Democrats. Trader consensus around 91-92% for the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors alongside polling trends showing comfortable leads. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high national turnout swings could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$4,715종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's strong position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from his prior victories by double-digit margins, high name recognition, and the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests, reinforced by his unopposed primary win in March 2026. The rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary, highlights limited opposition viability in a state where urban and suburban voter coalitions favor Democrats. Trader consensus around 91-92% for the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors alongside polling trends showing comfortable leads. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high national turnout swings could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$4,715종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's strong position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from his prior victories by double-digit margins, high name recognition, and the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests, reinforced by his unopposed primary win in March 2026. The rematch against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who prevailed in a crowded GOP primary, highlights limited opposition viability in a state where urban and suburban voter coalitions favor Democrats. Trader consensus around 91-92% for the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors alongside polling trends showing comfortable leads. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high national turnout swings could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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