Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
92%
Republican
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$2,057 거래량
92%
Republican
$2,658 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$4,715종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$4,715종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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