Recent polls reflect a fragmented Latvian political landscape ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, with proportional representation and a 5% threshold amplifying volatility in a multi-party field. Trader consensus prices incumbent Jaunā Vienotība (JV), led by Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, slightly ahead at 34% for most seats, neck-and-neck with surging right-wing populist Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 33%, as LPV capitalizes on economic discontent and anti-establishment sentiment following gains in the latest Gemius poll (April 7: LPV 14.3%, Progresīvie 14.1%, JV 9.4%) and SKDS (March 31: LPV 14.6%, JV 11%). Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) trails at 17% implied odds amid declining support. The race stays tight due to no clear frontrunner above 15% in vote intentions, incumbency advantages for JV, and LPV's momentum; separation could arise from campaign debates, leader gaffes, or economic data through summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트JV 32%
LPV 24%
NA 17%
PLO 12.4%
$59,388 거래량
$59,388 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
24%
LPV
33%
NA
17%
PLO
10%
ZZS
4%
AS
4%
S
2%
SV
1%
ST!
1%
JV 32%
LPV 24%
NA 17%
PLO 12.4%
$59,388 거래량
$59,388 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
$4,067 거래량
24%
LPV
$1,580 거래량
33%
NA
$1,729 거래량
17%
PLO
$798 거래량
10%
ZZS
$48,212 거래량
4%
AS
$827 거래량
4%
S
$561 거래량
2%
SV
$993 거래량
1%
ST!
$621 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls reflect a fragmented Latvian political landscape ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, with proportional representation and a 5% threshold amplifying volatility in a multi-party field. Trader consensus prices incumbent Jaunā Vienotība (JV), led by Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, slightly ahead at 34% for most seats, neck-and-neck with surging right-wing populist Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 33%, as LPV capitalizes on economic discontent and anti-establishment sentiment following gains in the latest Gemius poll (April 7: LPV 14.3%, Progresīvie 14.1%, JV 9.4%) and SKDS (March 31: LPV 14.6%, JV 11%). Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) trails at 17% implied odds amid declining support. The race stays tight due to no clear frontrunner above 15% in vote intentions, incumbency advantages for JV, and LPV's momentum; separation could arise from campaign debates, leader gaffes, or economic data through summer.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
거래량
$59,388종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls reflect a fragmented Latvian political landscape ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, with proportional representation and a 5% threshold amplifying volatility in a multi-party field. Trader consensus prices incumbent Jaunā Vienotība (JV), led by Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, slightly ahead at 34% for most seats, neck-and-neck with surging right-wing populist Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 33%, as LPV capitalizes on economic discontent and anti-establishment sentiment following gains in the latest Gemius poll (April 7: LPV 14.3%, Progresīvie 14.1%, JV 9.4%) and SKDS (March 31: LPV 14.6%, JV 11%). Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) trails at 17% implied odds amid declining support. The race stays tight due to no clear frontrunner above 15% in vote intentions, incumbency advantages for JV, and LPV's momentum; separation could arise from campaign debates, leader gaffes, or economic data through summer.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
거래량
$59,388종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls reflect a fragmented Latvian political landscape ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, with proportional representation and a 5% threshold amplifying volatility in a multi-party field. Trader consensus prices incumbent Jaunā Vienotība (JV), led by Prime Minister Evika Siliņa, slightly ahead at 34% for most seats, neck-and-neck with surging right-wing populist Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 33%, as LPV capitalizes on economic discontent and anti-establishment sentiment following gains in the latest Gemius poll (April 7: LPV 14.3%, Progresīvie 14.1%, JV 9.4%) and SKDS (March 31: LPV 14.6%, JV 11%). Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) trails at 17% implied odds amid declining support. The race stays tight due to no clear frontrunner above 15% in vote intentions, incumbency advantages for JV, and LPV's momentum; separation could arise from campaign debates, leader gaffes, or economic data through summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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