Trader consensus favors "No" at 78.5% implied probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting persistent pre-trial hurdles and the statute's historically limited trial success. Ousted from Venezuela in early 2026 and extradited after a superseding indictment unsealed in January, Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses; they remain detained in Brooklyn without bail or a set trial date. The most recent development, a March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, saw the court reject dismissal motions but scrutinize U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan funds for their defense, prolonging procedural delays. While cooperating witnesses like a former Venezuelan general bolster prosecution, uncertainty over multi-count convictions sustains skepticism among traders.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$101,324 거래량
$101,324 거래량
2027.12.31
예
$101,324 거래량
$101,324 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 78.5% implied probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting persistent pre-trial hurdles and the statute's historically limited trial success. Ousted from Venezuela in early 2026 and extradited after a superseding indictment unsealed in January, Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses; they remain detained in Brooklyn without bail or a set trial date. The most recent development, a March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, saw the court reject dismissal motions but scrutinize U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan funds for their defense, prolonging procedural delays. While cooperating witnesses like a former Venezuelan general bolster prosecution, uncertainty over multi-count convictions sustains skepticism among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
거래량
$101,324종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 78.5% implied probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting persistent pre-trial hurdles and the statute's historically limited trial success. Ousted from Venezuela in early 2026 and extradited after a superseding indictment unsealed in January, Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses; they remain detained in Brooklyn without bail or a set trial date. The most recent development, a March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, saw the court reject dismissal motions but scrutinize U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan funds for their defense, prolonging procedural delays. While cooperating witnesses like a former Venezuelan general bolster prosecution, uncertainty over multi-count convictions sustains skepticism among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$101,324종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 78.5% implied probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting persistent pre-trial hurdles and the statute's historically limited trial success. Ousted from Venezuela in early 2026 and extradited after a superseding indictment unsealed in January, Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses; they remain detained in Brooklyn without bail or a set trial date. The most recent development, a March 26 hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, saw the court reject dismissal motions but scrutinize U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan funds for their defense, prolonging procedural delays. While cooperating witnesses like a former Venezuelan general bolster prosecution, uncertainty over multi-count convictions sustains skepticism among traders.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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