Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% for the September 8, 2026, New Hampshire GOP gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong 2024 general election victory over Democrat Joyce Craig and recent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups, such as a March St. Anselm survey showing her ahead 46%-39% against Cinde Warmington. Ayotte's establishment backing and policy continuity with predecessor Chris Sununu bolster her frontrunner status amid no major challengers filing before the June deadline. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski lingers at 10% on lingering rumors of a primary bid—sparked last fall over her resistance to congressional redistricting—but traders view it as unlikely without an announcement, given historical incumbent primary win rates exceeding 90% absent scandals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Kelly Ayotte
85%
Corey Lewandowski
10%
Kelly Ayotte
85%
Corey Lewandowski
10%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% for the September 8, 2026, New Hampshire GOP gubernatorial primary, reflecting her strong 2024 general election victory over Democrat Joyce Craig and recent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups, such as a March St. Anselm survey showing her ahead 46%-39% against Cinde Warmington. Ayotte's establishment backing and policy continuity with predecessor Chris Sununu bolster her frontrunner status amid no major challengers filing before the June deadline. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski lingers at 10% on lingering rumors of a primary bid—sparked last fall over her resistance to congressional redistricting—but traders view it as unlikely without an announcement, given historical incumbent primary win rates exceeding 90% absent scandals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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