Recent polls, including Market Links (21% for GERB-SDS, projecting 57 seats) and CAR (19%, fieldwork through April 14), position the center-right GERB-SDS coalition for 55-57 seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly, anchoring trader consensus in the 55-59 (40%) and 50-54 (31%) brackets amid a fragmented field led by Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37%. This eighth vote since 2021 reflects ongoing political deadlock after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests; tight dynamics stem from undecided voters (10-15%), low historical turnout (34% last election), and minor poll swings amplified by remainder allocations and threshold-crossing rivals like PP-DB and DPS. Late surges in GERB's rural base or urban turnout shifts could push toward 60+, while PB momentum favors the lower end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트55-59 41%
50-54 27%
60-64 18.6%
65-69 10%
$34,269 거래량
$34,269 거래량
2026.04.19
50석 미만
7%
50-54
31%
55-59
41%
60-64
21%
65-69
10%
70+
6%
55-59 41%
50-54 27%
60-64 18.6%
65-69 10%
$34,269 거래량
$34,269 거래량
2026.04.19
50석 미만
$1,965 거래량
7%
50-54
$360 거래량
31%
55-59
$7,686 거래량
41%
60-64
$20,230 거래량
21%
65-69
$2,838 거래량
10%
70+
$1,190 거래량
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (21% for GERB-SDS, projecting 57 seats) and CAR (19%, fieldwork through April 14), position the center-right GERB-SDS coalition for 55-57 seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly, anchoring trader consensus in the 55-59 (40%) and 50-54 (31%) brackets amid a fragmented field led by Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37%. This eighth vote since 2021 reflects ongoing political deadlock after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests; tight dynamics stem from undecided voters (10-15%), low historical turnout (34% last election), and minor poll swings amplified by remainder allocations and threshold-crossing rivals like PP-DB and DPS. Late surges in GERB's rural base or urban turnout shifts could push toward 60+, while PB momentum favors the lower end.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
거래량
$34,269종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (21% for GERB-SDS, projecting 57 seats) and CAR (19%, fieldwork through April 14), position the center-right GERB-SDS coalition for 55-57 seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly, anchoring trader consensus in the 55-59 (40%) and 50-54 (31%) brackets amid a fragmented field led by Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37%. This eighth vote since 2021 reflects ongoing political deadlock after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests; tight dynamics stem from undecided voters (10-15%), low historical turnout (34% last election), and minor poll swings amplified by remainder allocations and threshold-crossing rivals like PP-DB and DPS. Late surges in GERB's rural base or urban turnout shifts could push toward 60+, while PB momentum favors the lower end.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$34,269종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (21% for GERB-SDS, projecting 57 seats) and CAR (19%, fieldwork through April 14), position the center-right GERB-SDS coalition for 55-57 seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly, anchoring trader consensus in the 55-59 (40%) and 50-54 (31%) brackets amid a fragmented field led by Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37%. This eighth vote since 2021 reflects ongoing political deadlock after the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid protests; tight dynamics stem from undecided voters (10-15%), low historical turnout (34% last election), and minor poll swings amplified by remainder allocations and threshold-crossing rivals like PP-DB and DPS. Late surges in GERB's rural base or urban turnout shifts could push toward 60+, while PB momentum favors the lower end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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