With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 63.2%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 36%
마리오 비스카라 <1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 <1%
$3,090,635 거래량
$3,090,635 거래량

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
63%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
36%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

카를로스 에스파
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

조지 포사이스
<1%

피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%

호르헤 니에토
<1%

세사르 아쿠냐
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

리카르도 벨몬트
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레스
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

마리솔 페레즈 텔로
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 63.2%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 36%
마리오 비스카라 <1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 <1%
$3,090,635 거래량
$3,090,635 거래량

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
63%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
36%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

카를로스 에스파
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

조지 포사이스
<1%

피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%

호르헤 니에토
<1%

세사르 아쿠냐
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

리카르도 벨몬트
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레스
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

마리솔 페레즈 텔로
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of election protocols counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round vote, trader consensus gives Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú) a 63% implied probability of second place, up from pre-election polls where he trailed Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular). Sánchez surged ahead by roughly 25,000 votes in the past 48 hours as rural and delayed urban tallies came in, overcoming logistical failures that extended voting and slowed results. Keiko Fujimori leads first, positioning the second-place finisher for a June 7 runoff absent a majority. Fragmented field of 35 candidates keeps others negligible, with final certification pending.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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