With over 92% of actas contabilizadas in Peru's April 12–13 first-round presidential election as of April 15 evening per ONPE, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17.05%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow second-place edge over Rafael López Aliaga at 12.05% versus 11.86%—a margin of roughly 29,000 votes—driving trader consensus to price López Aliaga as the 60% favorite for third amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Recent rural vote tabulation boosted Sánchez past López, reversing pre-election polls where the former Lima mayor led, though López supporters protest alleged irregularities without evidence from EU observers. Remaining urban precincts and 8% uncounted actas, plus potential challenges, keep the second-runoff spot contested ahead of the June 7 decisive round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트라파엘 로페스 알리아가 60.8%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 37.0%
호르헤 니에토 <1%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
$566,027 거래량
$566,027 거래량

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
61%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
37%

호르헤 니에토
<1%

리카르도 벨몬트
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

조지 포르사이쓰
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

세사르 아쿠냐
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

카를로스 에스파
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 60.8%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 37.0%
호르헤 니에토 <1%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
$566,027 거래량
$566,027 거래량

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
61%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
37%

호르헤 니에토
<1%

리카르도 벨몬트
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

조지 포르사이쓰
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

세사르 아쿠냐
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

카를로스 에스파
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 92% of actas contabilizadas in Peru's April 12–13 first-round presidential election as of April 15 evening per ONPE, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17.05%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow second-place edge over Rafael López Aliaga at 12.05% versus 11.86%—a margin of roughly 29,000 votes—driving trader consensus to price López Aliaga as the 60% favorite for third amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Recent rural vote tabulation boosted Sánchez past López, reversing pre-election polls where the former Lima mayor led, though López supporters protest alleged irregularities without evidence from EU observers. Remaining urban precincts and 8% uncounted actas, plus potential challenges, keep the second-runoff spot contested ahead of the June 7 decisive round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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