Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jorge Nieto Montesinos of Partido del Buen Gobierno for fourth place in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting official ONPE results with 93% of ballots tallied showing him at 11.07%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.15% by 144,000 votes—amid a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one exceeded 17%. Recent developments, including Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to second at 11.98% overtaking Rafael López Aliaga for third, have stabilized the top four positions as counting enters its fourth day following initial ballot delivery delays. This commanding lead persists despite fraud claims lacking evidence, with remaining rural and overseas votes unlikely to close the gap unless Belmont dramatically overperforms; legal challenges or recounts could theoretically disrupt but face high procedural barriers before the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트페루 대통령 선거 1차 투표: 4위
페루 대통령 선거 1차 투표: 4위
호르헤 니에토 98.8%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 <1%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 <1%
$400,630 거래량
$400,630 거래량

호르헤 니에토
99%

리카르도 벨몬트
1%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
<1%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

욘히 레스카노
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

조지 포르사이스
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
호르헤 니에토 98.8%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 <1%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 <1%
$400,630 거래량
$400,630 거래량

호르헤 니에토
99%

리카르도 벨몬트
1%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
<1%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

욘히 레스카노
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

조지 포르사이스
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jorge Nieto Montesinos of Partido del Buen Gobierno for fourth place in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting official ONPE results with 93% of ballots tallied showing him at 11.07%—ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.15% by 144,000 votes—amid a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates where no one exceeded 17%. Recent developments, including Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to second at 11.98% overtaking Rafael López Aliaga for third, have stabilized the top four positions as counting enters its fourth day following initial ballot delivery delays. This commanding lead persists despite fraud claims lacking evidence, with remaining rural and overseas votes unlikely to close the gap unless Belmont dramatically overperforms; legal challenges or recounts could theoretically disrupt but face high procedural barriers before the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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