Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 81.2% for Peru's presidential first-round election held April 12-13, reflecting historical precedents like the 74% in 2021 amid compulsory voting and persistent abstention around 25-30% due to political disillusionment from a decade of instability, impeachments, and corruption scandals. Logistical chaos—late ballot deliveries delaying thousands and extending voting one day—clouds exit polls such as Ipsos' 81.3% claim, which traders discount pending ONPE's full actas tabulation now past 70%. The record 35-candidate field likely suppressed enthusiasm despite high registered voters over 27 million, positioning lower bands as competitive if overseas participation lags. Runoff looms June 7 barring a majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트70-75% 80.6%
75-80% 17%
80~85% 1.9%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,141 거래량
$130,141 거래량
70% 미만
1%
70-75%
81%
75-80%
17%
80~85%
2%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 80.6%
75-80% 17%
80~85% 1.9%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,141 거래량
$130,141 거래량
70% 미만
1%
70-75%
81%
75-80%
17%
80~85%
2%
> 85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 81.2% for Peru's presidential first-round election held April 12-13, reflecting historical precedents like the 74% in 2021 amid compulsory voting and persistent abstention around 25-30% due to political disillusionment from a decade of instability, impeachments, and corruption scandals. Logistical chaos—late ballot deliveries delaying thousands and extending voting one day—clouds exit polls such as Ipsos' 81.3% claim, which traders discount pending ONPE's full actas tabulation now past 70%. The record 35-candidate field likely suppressed enthusiasm despite high registered voters over 27 million, positioning lower bands as competitive if overseas participation lags. Runoff looms June 7 barring a majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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