Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트퀘벡당 54%
PLQ 37%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,759 거래량
$429,759 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
54%
PLQ
37%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
퀘벡당 54%
PLQ 37%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,759 거래량
$429,759 거래량
2026.10.05
퀘벡당
$41,745 거래량
54%
PLQ
$47,641 거래량
37%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
$42,701 거래량
9%
PCQ
$144,126 거래량
1%
PVQ
$105,358 거래량
<1%
QS
$48,187 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
거래량
$429,759종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
거래량
$429,759종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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