Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, traders heavily favor Juan Pablo Velasco at 88.6% implied probability, driven by his first-round plurality of around 28% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll from April 3-9 showing Velasco leading 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The departmental electoral tribunal certified results on April 6 after mesa repetitions, confirming the matchup amid a fragmented field where incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho placed third and conceded. Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities bolsters trader consensus, though Ritter's rural support and undecideds could narrow the gap if turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트후안 파블로 벨라스코 88.1%
오토 리터 11.1%
후안 카를로스 메드라노 <1%
마우리시오 케사다 <1%
$803,420 거래량
$803,420 거래량
2026.04.19
후안 파블로 벨라스코
88%
오토 리터
11%
후안 카를로스 메드라노
<1%
마우리시오 케사다
<1%
정치현
<1%
훌리오 세사르 토르레스
<1%
귀도 에두아르도 나야르
<1%
미겔 카디마
<1%
블라디미르 페냐
<1%
루이스 페르난도 카마초
<1%
후안 파블로 벨라스코 88.1%
오토 리터 11.1%
후안 카를로스 메드라노 <1%
마우리시오 케사다 <1%
$803,420 거래량
$803,420 거래량
2026.04.19
후안 파블로 벨라스코
$337,689 거래량
88%
오토 리터
$108,602 거래량
11%
후안 카를로스 메드라노
$26,745 거래량
<1%
마우리시오 케사다
$21,893 거래량
<1%
정치현
$26,234 거래량
<1%
훌리오 세사르 토르레스
$26,347 거래량
<1%
귀도 에두아르도 나야르
$50,705 거래량
<1%
미겔 카디마
$23,254 거래량
<1%
블라디미르 페냐
$38,716 거래량
<1%
루이스 페르난도 카마초
$143,235 거래량
<1%
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, traders heavily favor Juan Pablo Velasco at 88.6% implied probability, driven by his first-round plurality of around 28% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll from April 3-9 showing Velasco leading 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The departmental electoral tribunal certified results on April 6 after mesa repetitions, confirming the matchup amid a fragmented field where incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho placed third and conceded. Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities bolsters trader consensus, though Ritter's rural support and undecideds could narrow the gap if turnout surges.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
거래량
$803,420종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, traders heavily favor Juan Pablo Velasco at 88.6% implied probability, driven by his first-round plurality of around 28% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll from April 3-9 showing Velasco leading 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The departmental electoral tribunal certified results on April 6 after mesa repetitions, confirming the matchup amid a fragmented field where incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho placed third and conceded. Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities bolsters trader consensus, though Ritter's rural support and undecideds could narrow the gap if turnout surges.
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
거래량
$803,420종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ahead of the April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, traders heavily favor Juan Pablo Velasco at 88.6% implied probability, driven by his first-round plurality of around 28% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll from April 3-9 showing Velasco leading 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. The departmental electoral tribunal certified results on April 6 after mesa repetitions, confirming the matchup amid a fragmented field where incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho placed third and conceded. Velasco's strength in the capital and intermediate cities bolsters trader consensus, though Ritter's rural support and undecideds could narrow the gap if turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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