Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2027년 이전 선거 없음 54%
Kulmiye 14.7%
정의와 복지 (UCID) 1.5%
와다니 1.2%
$16,283 거래량
$16,283 거래량
2026.03.31
2027년 이전 선거 없음
73%
Kulmiye
15%
정의와 복지 (UCID)
14%
와다니
1%
2027년 이전 선거 없음 54%
Kulmiye 14.7%
정의와 복지 (UCID) 1.5%
와다니 1.2%
$16,283 거래량
$16,283 거래량
2026.03.31
2027년 이전 선거 없음
$8,480 거래량
73%
Kulmiye
$2,187 거래량
15%
정의와 복지 (UCID)
$3,751 거래량
14%
와다니
$1,865 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
거래량
$16,283종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
거래량
$16,283종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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